College Fantasy Football – Weekly Mailbag (Week 6)

This is something new we’ve been trying to do on CFFN. If you didn’t catch last weeks answers they can be found here. If you want any of your questions answered in the future you can ask them via email or Twitter:

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Alright here we go:

“In both redraft and dynasty formats, which players are you buying low and selling high on?”

This is a tough question and completely opinion based so I could be totally wrong on all of these ones, but I’ll try my best:

Sell high redraft: KD Cannon (Freshman) Baylor

Since Art Briles arrived in Waco, Baylor has had some unbelievable wide receivers on campus. Josh Gordon, Kendall, Wright, Terrence Williams, Antwaan Goodley, and Levi Norwood to name a few. Briles recently tabbed Cannon the “best high school receiver he’s ever seen” and fully expected him to perform as well as he has. Dating back to the start Briles’  head coaching career, he has never had two receivers go for over 1,000 yards receiving in the same season. That could change with the emergence of Cannon in the early part of the season. I personally think Goodley is still going to be Petty’s number one pass catcher. The pace Cannon is currently on is ridiculous to say the least and its hard to imagine he keeps shredding opposing defenses to the tune of what he has been. Corey Coleman and Antwaan Goodley are now both healthy and back in the lineup and the Big 12 schedule has opened. Although this offense is incredibly explosive, I just don’t like how many mouths there are to feed in Waco. Just my opinion though.

Sell high redraft/dynasty: Alex Collins (Sophomore) Arkansas

This is another one that could go either way, but I personally think the Razorbacks won’t be able to exhibit its dominance in the ground game the rest of the season. Of their remaining schedule, 5 of their 7 opponents rank in the top 15 in the country (ALA, UGA, MISS ST, LSU, OLE MISS). Missouri is one of the two opponents outside of the top 15 and currently rank #24 in the country. Their lone unranked opponent is Alabama Birmingham. Last season, Collins rushed for over 1,000 yards which is a virtual lock again. But Arkansas’ remaining schedule is absolutely brutal in the almighty SEC West. No more Texas Techs, Nicholls States, and Northern Illinois’ of the world. Add in the fact he splits carries with Jonathan Williams and to a lesser extent Korliss Marshall and it gives me reason to be weary of his torrid start. Bielema and company have dominated the ground game before and boast a line thats average size is bigger than that of any NFL team, but I’m a little cautious on what to expect moving forward. Their remaining schedule is no joke. If the price was right, I’d be willing to move Collins.

Sell high dynasty: JT Barrett (Freshman) Ohio State

His stock is probably as high as it will ever be right now, many people believe that even if Miller comes back next season, the job will be Barrett’s in 2016. Personally I don’t think that’s necessarily the case. With the resources Ohio State has and the pull Urban Meyer historically has in the recruiting world, its not completely out of this world to think Barrett could be a career backup after this season. Yes Barrett is a Meyer recruit, but there’s always that chance of a better option to come along in Columbus. Torrance Gibson could be that guy if he chooses the Buckeyes. Again I could be totally off here but thats my opinion.

Buy low redraft: Jeremy Langford (Senior) Michigan State

I think its kind of bizarre the panic some across the fantasy world have with Langford. Connor Cook’s emergence as a stud quarterback has many worried. Sure Langford wont carry the workload he did last season. But don’t forget he helped Sparty win their first Rose Bowl in a quarter century, while running for over 100 yards in 8 straight Big Ten games. He has only played a full game once this season vs. Oregon. Also the last time Michigan State had an elite quarterback (Kirk Cousins), RB’s Le’Veon Bell and Edwin Baker combined for 1,600 yards and 18 touchdowns in a pretty even timeshare. Langford isn’t in a timeshare and will more than likely pick up the pace once the conference slate opens for Michigan State. I believe he will once again be very consistent and reliable as a fantasy back.

Buy low redraft: Mike Davis (Junior) South Carolina

South Carolina has one ranked opponent remaining on their schedule (Oct. 25th vs. Auburn). Outside of Auburn, their schedule looks like this: Kentucky, Furman, Auburn, Tennessee, Florida, South Alabama, and Clemson. Not a cake walk but not incredibly difficult either (see Arkansas). Davis started the season a little banged up, but the combination of being healthy and an easier schedule should boost his productivity. Not a bad idea to send some proposals to Davis owners just to feel the market. In my opinion he is clearly the best offensive player on this team, and could really produce solid numbers moving forward.

Buy low dynasty: Derrick Henry (Sophomore) Alabama

I might be alone here, but for some reason I think Bama is just waiting to unleash the beast that is Derrick Henry. In Alabama’s only two competitive games this season (West Virginia & Florida), Henry has carried the ball at least 17 times for 113 yards and 1 touchdown. Henry has out produced Yeldon in the competitive games this year and personally I think Henry is the best option in that backfield this year. Bama’s schedule is very difficult but they’ve ran successfully in the past and I don’t think that will change any time soon. Although it seems Bama has thrown the ball a ton this year, take note that they have attempted 130 passes compared to 182 rushes. Bama is averaging the 259 rushing yards/game this season. With Yeldon leaving next year Henry could be receiving the bulk of the carries next year. I could be wrong since it is Bama but I really think highly of Henry both this year and in the future.

Buy low dynasty: Christian Hackenberg (Sophomore) Penn State

Even after last weeks terrible performance, I am still very high on Christian Hackenberg. Comparing his stats to other 19 year old quarterbacks across the country, I still like him a lot. Especially in dynasty formats. Although he’s not a quarterback, to put things in perspective Leonard Fournette is a month older than Hackenberg. This year, Hack has had a tough time putting the ball in the end-zone (0 TDs in last 3 games), but he is averaging nearly 300 yards/game. His receiving corps is fairly youthful: DaeSean Hamilton (RS Freshman), Geno Lewis (RS Sophomore), & Jesse James (Junior). The future looks bright under first year James Franklin as their currently dominating the east coast in terms of recruiting (#6 class in nation on Rivals currently). Hackenberg’s stock is at an all-time low. Adding him on your roster could really pay off in the future. Worth what it will take to land him I’d think.

“I have both Baylor WR Corey Coleman and KD Cannon. Which receiver do you feel has the best value for the rest of the season?”

Another very tough question as Coleman’s debut this season was very impressive (12 receptions, 154 yards, and 1 touchdown). But the way KD’s career has started its hard to bet against him. As I stated above, Art Briles said “Cannon was the best H.S. receiver he’s ever seen.” With the receivers Baylor has produced over Briles tenure that’s a big statement, and speaks volumes of the talent Cannon possesses. Cannon has a higher ceiling than Coleman and should develop better chemistry with QB Bryce Petty as the season progresses.

Thoughts on William Stanback?

 Although recruiting rankings don’t mean anything, Stanback was a 2-star ranked athlete in the class of 2012 for UCF. Last year Storm Johnson ran for over 1,100 yards and 14 touchdowns as he helped UCF win a BCS bowl. But keep in mind Storm was a 4-star (7th ranked) running back coming out of high school. The Knights also had the third overall pick in the NFL draft quarterbacking their offense last year in Blake Bortles. Last year might be as good as it ever gets for UCF. Through their first three games UCF is only averaging 94 yards per game on the ground as a team. They opened with respectable opponents Penn State and Missouri so there may be hope for Stanback. Against Bethune-Cookman, Stanback had a team high 15 carries for 104 yards and 2 touchdowns. The AAC isn’t a great conference but you’d think a majority of teams in it would be better than #17th ranked FCS team. I could be wrong, but I’d look elsewhere, Stanback has yet to prove himself as the featured back at UCF and could potentially be in the doghouse.

Which star players that have gotten off to slow starts will rebound and which won’t? Examples: Nelson Agholor, Mike Davis, Nick Marshall, Jeremy Langford, Antwan Goodley.

Earlier I mentioned Langford and Davis as good buy-low candidates and I firmly beleive both will bounce back soon. As for:

Nelson Agholor (Junior) USC

I think he surely can bounce back, as the PAC12 looks like it will be full of shootouts this year, and has plenty of defenses that are vulnerable against the pass. But I am not expecting Marquise Lee/Robert Woods type numbers from Ahgolor. The junior is incredibly talented, but newly named HC Steve Sarkisian seems much more focused on running the ball than Lane Kiffen ever was. In his 5 year tenure at Washington, only one wide receiver went for over 1,000 yards (Jermaine Kearse 2010). I’m not saying Agholor won’t have a nice season, but it is surely different than the Lane Kiffen “feed the beast” mentality.

Antwan Goodley (Senior) Baylor

Goodley is a prime candidate to bounce back. Last year Goodley was by far the number one pass catcher at Baylor. He had over 600 yards and 5 more touchdowns than their number two option, Levi Norwood. This year’s wide receiving corps is potentially more talented than last years with the emergence of KD Cannon and development of Corey Coleman. But Goodley’s track record is too good for me to ignore. The chemistry he built with Petty last season in a 71 catch, 1,339 yard, 13 touchdown campaign was very impressive. Now that Goodley is healthy I like him moving forward.

Nick Marshall (Senior) Auburn

Opposing defenses may have cracked the code of shutting down Nick Marshall. But I’m not sold on that at all. Kansas State held him at bay for the most part (17-31, 231 yards, 2 TDs passing & 46 rushing yards) but I find it hard to beleive he’ll be shut down all year. For some reason, I feel like Gus Malzahn has yet to fully open up the playbook. The addition of Duke Williams at WR only helps Marshall this season. The schedule is brutal but I’m putting my money on Gus to get things rolling.

Who do you see having the bigger game this weekend, Ameer Abdullah or Jeremy Langford?

Really tough question to answer, if I had to pick one or the other I’d say Langford. In week two, McNeese State ran for 178 yards against the Nebraska defense. Not only do I firmly beleive the Spartans will rely on Langford more in big games, but I also think very highly of this Spartan defense. Outside of the loss of cornerback, Darqueze Dennard I actually think this Michigan State defense could be better than last years defense. Sounds crazy, but Michigan State is loaded on defense. Its hard to replace an elite talent like Dennard, but outside of the secondary State is pretty loaded.  In this game last year, Langford ran for 150 yards while Abdullah ran for 123. Nebraska’s line is much improved, but so is Michigan States DL. The addition of 5-star DE, Malik McDowell appears like it will pay major dividends in the future. The Spartans are only giving up 78 rushing yards per game this season. If Abdullah does happen to go off I wouldn’t be surprised, as he is a front runner for the Heisman in my books. But like I said if I were to choose one of the two I’d lean towards Langford.

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