Draft Kings: Value Plays – Week 9

The point of this article is to give you some direction on some potential value guys, or more obscure options that the majority of the field likely won’t be using. These guys probably won’t win you money single handedly, but some like last weeks (Mitch Leidner and Stefon Diggs) will surely help with the roster flexibility, by saving some salary here or there and using towards some studs. Give me a follow on Twitter @PutBoobieIn.

EARLY SAT SLATE

QB

Aaron Bailey – Illinois vs. Minnesota ($4,000)

Down 24 points to Wisconsin, Illinois burned the opportunity to redshirt Bailey this season, which would seem that the time to learn on the field is now. Although Illinois claims they will probably roll with both QB’s, as a Gopher fan I feel Bailey will be their guy. Minnesota has been burned by dual threat quarterbacks in the past. Every dual threat QB Minnesota has faced, dating back to last years bowl game has had some level of success on the ground. Last week Purdue’s Austin Applebee ran for 79 yards and 1 touchdown. The Gophers will have their hands full with Bailey who was highly touted coming out of H.S. (#9 DT QB on Rivals – 2013).

Connor Cook  – Michigan State vs. Michigan ($5,600)

This is a great price for Cook. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in every game but one this year (vs. Nebraska). His price and relative consistency could make him the most valuable QB in this slate. It also helps that he isn’t facing the greatest team in the world either. Rutgers’, Gary Nova threw for over 400 yards and 3 touchdown against this defense a few weeks ago. Cook and this offense are much better than Nova and Rutgers. Cook is a great play.

RB

Brandon Hayes – Memphis at SMU ($3,000)

Rumor has it, Hayes is finally back to 100%. This is a gamble, as he hasn’t played much since his injury against Ole Miss, but its one that could pay off big. Last week, RB Sam Craft was ineffective on the ground against Houston (2.9 YPC). If Hayes really is 100% which I read on 247 sports, he could have a very nice game against the 8th worst rush defense in the country (242 ruYDs allowed/game). The SMU defense has allowed 18 touchdowns on the ground this season.

Synjyn Days – Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh ($3,000)

Last week Zach Laskey was taken out of the game due to a shoulder injury. This week it appears Synjyn Days will get the first crack at the no. 1 RB spot. A Georgia Tech RB has ran for over 70 yards in every game this season. If Days does replace Laskey as the A-back in this offense he could have a nice game for minimum price. Two weeks ago Kevin Parks ran for 169 yards and 1 TD against this Pittsburgh D. Pitt has been relatively successful (111 yds/gm) throughout the entire season at stopping the run, but Georgia Tech loves smashing the ball.

Dremius Smith ($3,300) &  Wendell Smallwood ($4,400)  – West Virginia at Oklahoma State

Smith and Smallwood are two players that could benefit immensely from an injury. Shell is listed as “day to day” but he left last week’s win over Baylor. Smallwood has shown effectiveness to catch the ball out of the backfield as well this season, as he has over 40 yards receiving in 4/7 games this season. Last week Smallwood had 20 carries. If Shell can’t go, Smallwood’s value goes up. Last week Dremius Smith seemed to be the more effective runner as Smallwood. Smith had 7 less carries than Smallwood and only 6 yards less (60 yards on 13 carries). Smith also reached the end-zone, Smallwood didn’t. Both players could provide decent value.

Marcus Murphy ($4,200) & Russell Hansbrough ($4,400) – Missouri vs. Vanderbilt

Missouri has been pretty bad this year. I’m listing both of these RB’s on here due to their matchup with a bad Vandy team. Vanderbilt is giving up 178 yards rushing/game this season. QB Maty Mauk has been absolutely terrible since SEC play opened. If Mauk can’t get things going, the Tigers will likely rely on these two if they want to win the game. Both have had games with over 20 points. This is also their weakest opponent by far since the SEC slate opened. Both could have nice games. Keep in mind, Murphy is more of a pass catcher than Hansbrough.

WR

Devin Lauderdale ($3,000) & Reginald Davis ($3,700)  – Texas Tech at TCU

Here are some more players that could provide decent games thanks to injuries. Both Bradley Marquez, and Jakeem Grant’s statuses are unknown for Saturday’s showdown with TCU. My head tells me Texas Tech will be playing catchup for most of the game, and this offense could be of the plug and play variety. Kliff Kingsbury knows how to run an effective spread offense. Both could provide excellent value.

Devin Funchess – Michigan at Michigan State ($4,200)

I have absolutely no faith in the Michigan offensive line to give Gardner enough time to effectively run this offense. But if the lineman do pick it up, the Spartans have proved vulnerable against the pass this season, thanks in larger part to the loss of Darqueze Dennard to the NFL. Purdue wide receiver Danny Anthrop caught 9 passes for 133 yards against the Spartans just two weeks ago. Funchess is an elite talent that could go in the first round of the NFL draft. Wouldn’t shock me if he had a nice game. Be cautious of this terrible offensive line though, also Gardner isn’t the greatest of QB’s.

Ryan Switzer – North Carolina at Virginia ($4,600)

Coming off of 9 catch, 136 yard, 2 touchdown performance, Switzer finally broke out. This North Carolina offense is finally coming together, and Switzer leads the Tar Heels in catches this season with 34. Switzer has loads of potential in the opened space. I really like him as a player, and if he continues to get targeted heavily. He could really provide a nice return for his price. Virginia is giving up 231 passing yards per game this season which isn’t terrible. But Marquise Williams and this offense are rolling.

Curry Sexton – Kansas State vs. Texas ($4,800)

I listed him last week as a great value if you think highly of Tyler Lockett, and I am sticking with that assumption this week again. Sexton has caught over 8 passes in 3 of the past 4 games. He’s also gone for over 100 receiving yards in 2 of those as well. Listed $1,200 lower than Lockett you could get the same return at a much cheaper cost. I really think highly of this kid. It also helps that Texas gave up 343 yards passing last week against Iowa State. In that game 3 receivers went for over 8 catches and 73 yards. Two of those three players also caught at least one touchdown. K-State could have a day through the air.

TE

Josiah Price – Michigan State vs. Michigan ($2,800)

Price is the second leading receiver behind the ever so hot Tony Lippett this season. He ranks second on the team in catches (15), yards (255), and touchdowns (4). See Cook for more details on this matchup, but Michigan isn’t very good as you all know. Price has caught a touchdown in 4/6 games this season.

Maxx Williams – Minnesota at Illinois ($3,200)

Williams is by far the Gopher’s receiving leader. If Minnesota has success through the air against a very bad Illinois team, its very likely that Williams has a nice game. Williams has touchdowns in 4/6 games played this season and has multiple catches in every game but one. Williams is a great tight end and Mitch Leidner has been throwing the ball much better as of late.

LATE SAT SLATE

QB

Troy Williams – Washington vs. Arizona State ($5,300)

If Cyler Miles can’t go this week (concussion), Troy Williams could have a nice game. After coming in for Miles last week the dual threat quarterback ran for 28 yards and 1 touchdown. His performance on the ground should come as no surprise as he was the #1 ranked dual threat QB in the class of 2013 according to Rivals. That puts him in elite company as the three others in the past four years have been great college players (Braxton Miller, Jameis Winston, and Deshaun Watson.) Arizona State is also giving up 240 passing yards/game this season. This game could potentially be a shootout and rostering Williams if he plays could payoff big.

RB

Corey Grant – Auburn vs. South Carolina ($3,000)

I recently read an article that said Auburn is looking to get Corey Grant more involved for the rest of the season. This could be the game to get him going as the Gamecocks are giving up 182 rushing yards/game and have allowed 15 rushing touchdowns this season. Grant started the year with at least 87 yards in each of the first two games on only 10 carries in each game. This is more of a gut feeling for me, but I think he could have similar statistics this week. At minimum price he could be a bargain if he see’s double digit touch numbers. Auburn needs to find a way to get Grant the ball, he’s very explosive.

T.J. Yeldon – Alabama at Tennessee ($5,400)

Tennessee is allowing 160 yards rushing/game this season. On October 4th Florida RB Matt Jones ran for 114 yards and 1 touchdown. This Alabama offensive line is much better than that of Florida’s. I also can see Lane Kiffen and Alabama running up the score in this game. Yeldon is coming off of near 34 point game last week against Texas A&M in limited time. He has rushed for over 100 yards in 2 of his past 3 games. I definitely think he could stay hot this weekend against the Volunteers.

WR

Laquon Treadwell – Ole Miss at LSU ($3,900)

Treadwell is one of my favorite receivers in all of college football. LSU’s weakness defensively this season has been on the ground, but I could definitely see a lot of “Treadwell screens” this weekend. Ole Miss doesn’t have a powerhouse running game that some of the teams that have beaten up on LSU this year have. Laquon is a great receiver, but hasn’t broke out this season yet. His price has been above $6,500 multiple times this year, so at $3,900 he could really provide great value.

Geno Lewis – Penn State vs. Ohio State ($4,300)

Much like Michigan this Penn State offensive line is absolutely brutal, which has negatively effected this offense in a big way. The Buckeyes have gotten better in every facet of the game over the past few weeks, so Penn State will more than likely be playing catchup the whole game. If the offensive line can give Hackenberg enough time, the Nittany Lions passing game could get back on track. Last week Leonte Carroo went for over 100 yards receiving in a terrible effort by Rutgers. I could definitely see Lewis doing the same. He’s caught over 5 passes for 82 yards in 4/6 games this year. He has only reached the end zone once and that was in week 1. But if the Nittany Lions get down big, he could change that in some garbage time. Don’t rely on great numbers but for his price he could provide great value, especially if he scores.

TE

Nick Vannett – Ohio State at Penn State ($2,500)

Vannett has caught a touchdown pass in each of the past two games. The Buckeye’s offense has really come alive thanks to the emergence of JT Barrett. On paper the Nittany Lions defense looks pretty good, but they haven’t played anyone yet. Let alone an offensive juggernaut such as Ohio State. I’m going to go with recent trends and say Vannett scores again. Always a plus when you get some productivity from your TE slot.

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