Draft Kings: Week 13 (Early Saturday Slate) – Breakdown

        Sorry for being MIA lately, I’ve been incredibly busy. This week I’ve decided to include some players who should have nice games and aren’t the obvious (Barrett, Mariota, Gordon, etc.) choices. Most of these players I’ve already tweeted about, and typically when I don’t have time to write an article I try tweeting about some match-ups/players. So give me a follow @PutBoobieIn if you have a Twitter account (sorry for my #BigTenBias in advance, cant help it. P.S. some of it is joking and some its not, you be the judge). Here are some players to consider in Saturday’s early slate.

QB

Solid Plays

Jameis Winston – Florida State vs. Boston College ($7,500)

I thoroughly enjoy watching this kid every single week. He’s the most poised quarterback I’ve seen at the collegiate level in a long time. If it weren’t for off the field “issues” Winston would be surrounded by so much hype, and rightfully so. The kid is unbelievable. Two games ago, this Boston College defense gave up 345 yards (season high) and 2 touchdowns to Michael Brewer. Winston doesn’t offer great dual threat capabilities, but if I were to guess he’d be a lock for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air. I bet FSU would love to pour it on an opponent as well.

Sam B. Richardson – Iowa State vs. Texas Tech ($7,700)

Richardson is quietly a fairly productive fantasy quarterback, as he can beat defenses with both his arm and his legs. Richardson has ran for touchdowns in 2 straight games. He’s coming off of an injury, but you couldn’t ask for a better matchup in this one, especially on the ground. Texas Tech has the 6th worst rushing defense in the country (allowing 259 rushing yards/game). Richardson is consistently the best rushing option Iowa State has, he could have a really nice game this weekend.

Taylor Kelly – Arizona State vs. Washington State ($7,700)

I’m not a super big fan of Kelly, but there should be plenty of points scored in this game. Kelly does possess pretty good running abilities. He has ran for over 50 yards and scored a rushing touchdown in 3/7 games he’s played in this season. Add in the fact that Washington State has the 2nd worst passing defense in terms of yardage allowed/game (307 yards) in the country, and theres a lot to like about Taylor Kelly this week. It appears Jaelen Strong will be playing this week which obviously bodes well for the play-caller. Strong and Kelly should shred this defense (although I wish Bercovici was still the QB). Washington State has allowed 27 TDs/2 INTS. I dislike Kelly as a player but I won’t argue with anyone who plays him. It makes sense, and he’s not a total duster. But #BringBerkoviciBack for real.

Bargains/Sleepers

Sefo Liufau – Colorado at Oregon ($4,900)

Colorado will more than likely be playing catch-up all game this weekend against Oregon. Sefo was just upgraded to probable and should be a go and start this weekend. Liufau is 15th in the country in passing yards (2,842) and tied for 8th in the country in passing touchdowns (26). Oregon is giving up 294 passing yards/game this season, and obviously relies on strictly outscoring opponents. Oregon has only held one P5 opponent (Stanford) to under 20 points in a game this season, and Colorado is incredibly pass happy. At his price, Sefo could be a nice bargain, if Colorado can keep this game competitive he will be an absolute steal.

Justin Holman – Central Florida vs. SMU ($5,700)

We’ve been picking on this SMU defense quite a bit lately. When you give up 43 points/game (2nd worst in country) and 528 yards of total offense/game (worst in the country), getting picked on is surely justified. Holman is coming off of arguably his best game of the season (291 yards, 3 touchdowns, 0 interceptions). It shouldn’t be hard for him to stay hot. UCF also has two very impressive receivers in J.J. Worton and Breshaud Perriman which always bodes well for QBs.

Kevin Hogan – Stanford at California ($6,400)

Hogan hasn’t been impressive this season, but when your playing a defense as impressively bad as California that can change real quickly. Opposing quarterbacks have been able to pad their stat sheet against this defense all season long and I don’t expect that to change this weekend. California is giving up a ridiculous 376 yards/game and have allowed 37 passing touchdowns this season. Ouch. Hogan has thrown for multiple touchdowns in 50% of games this season. Don’t be surprised if Hogan has a career night.

Others: Tommy Armstrong ($5,300), Cody Thomas ($5,800), Anu Solomon ($6,700)

RB

Solid Plays

Ezekiel Elliot – Ohio State vs. Indiana ($6,500)

Elliot should be the beneficiary of a lopsided performance. Ohio State needs to continue to impress the playoff committee and nothing less than a blowout will be sufficient in the eyes of Urban Meyer. J.T. Barrett will obviously have a good day against arguably the worst team in the Big-Ten, and so should Elliot. Last week an unimpressive Rutgers squad ran for 212 yards and 4 touchdowns against this defense. Ohio State gets most of their yards on the ground, and Elliot has 23+ carries in 4 of his last 7 games played.

Jeremy Langford – Michigan State vs. Rutgers ($7,700)

Langford is basically about as consistent as a running back can get. Langford has 591 yards and 11 rushing touchdowns over his last 4 games. This week he gets to face a defense that has given up over 290 rushing yards in a whopping 4 consecutive games. Maryland’s transition to the Big-Ten has been so far from smooth its not even funny. Expect another huge day from a B1G running back against this defense. I’d be shocked if “Mr. Reliable” disappoints this weekend.

Royce Freeman – Oregon vs. Colorado ($7,900)

This kid is an absolute freak and has a very bright career ahead of him. This weekend he gets to face off against the worst rush defense in the PAC-12. Colorado is giving up 207 rushing yards/game this season. Last week Arizona nearly ran for over 300 yards against this defense as a team. You can expect a lot of the same out of Oregon this weekend. I really like Freeman this weekend, and am not too concerned with the RBBC. Freeman has had over 98 rushing yards in 5 consecutive games. He has had over 15 carries in 7 consecutive games. Considering the matchup, it wouldn’t shock me if we see a big dose of Freeman.

Bargains/Sleepers

Jalin Marshall – Ohio State vs. Indiana ($3,100)

I’m not incredibly high on Marshall but I do like the upside he offers in this price range. Remember when a lot of us, including myself were high on Dontre Wilson coming into this season? Well Marshall is now playing in the ultra important h-back role in Urban Meyer’s high octane offense. Add in the fact that when OSU runs the sweeps, they are technically considered passes. That sure is nice from a fantasy perspective, Marshall “caught” 5 passes for 95 yards and 1 touchdown vs. Minnesota last week. He also had two fumbles which obviously needs to be addressed. Marshall will be an important piece of this offense with Dontre out for an extended amount of time with a broken foot that needed surgery. Personally I think Marshall could make some noise in fantasy terms over the next couple weeks. He was a very highly rated recruit coming out of high school, and has looked the part in limited time this season. Playmakers make plays.

Aaron Wimberly – Iowa State vs. Texas Tech ($4,200)

I’m putting Wimberly on here strictly due to the matchup, and one that doesn’t get much better than this. Last game, Wimberly ran for 97 yards, 2 games ago, Wimberly ran for 110 yards and 1 touchdown. Texas Tech has given up 31 rushing touchdowns and is allowing 259 rushing yards/game. The matchup is juicy, but Wimberly hasn’t had over 15 carries all season. That might change this week, but I wouldn’t bet on it. Wimberly deserves consideration in GPP’s at the very least.

Byron Marshall – Oregon vs. Colorado ($4,300)

Marshall is more of a sure fire bet than the other Marshall I just mentioned. Byron is a perimeter player due to the emergence of stud freshman Royce Freeman. But Byron is an electric playmaker. He is nearing the 1,000 yards of total offense milestone (595 receiving & 307 rushing). When your awarded points per reception a guy like Marshall can be very valuable. Marshall has the capability of having huge performances.

Others: Dontravious Wilson ($3,900), Deandre Washington ($4,200), Dalvin Cook ($4,500),

WR

Solid Plays

Nelson Spruce – Colorado at Oregon ($6,500)

Spruce is leading the country in receptions with 99 this season. At this price you really can’t go wrong. I understand that Oregon is a mismatch for the Buffs, but Spruce is by far the number 1 receiving threat at Colorado and its not even close. Spruce has 9+ receptions in 60% of games played this season. In games he hasn’t caught at least 9 passes, he’s caught 7,7,6, & 6 respectively. Spruce is easily one of the most consistent receivers in college football and offers quite a bit of upside as well. Oregon gives up 294 passing yards/game, always a good sign for bonafide #1’s. Ifo Ekpre-Olomu is a great corner and could shut down Spruce, but I still like his chances to show some level of success. Again, at $6,500 you can’t really go wrong.

Rashad Greene – Florida State vs. Boston College ($6,700)

Another high volume guy who is reasonably prices. See Jameis Winston for more details on this matchup. Greene has 75 catches on the year for 1,042 yards but only has 5 touchdowns to go along with that. I’m going to go out on a hunch here and say Florida State finally wins a game “the way” they should. I’m sure they would love to get the “they almost lose ever game” monkey off their back. If my opinion holds try on that, there wouldn’t be a better beneficiary than Greene. I expect a nice game from him regardless of the score, but could see a huge game. Greene has gone for over 100 yards receiving in 60% of games this season.

Keevan Lucas – Tulsa at Houston ($6,900)

And yet another high volume receiver I like. Lucas has 9+ receptions in 60% of his games this season. Lucas has also caught a touchdown in 80% of games this season. Week in and week out the guy is a model for consistency. Last week Tulane (a team not known for amazing passing capabilities) scored 3 touchdowns through the air against Houston’s defense. Lucas will be the best receiver Houston has seen all season in my opinion, I wouldn’t be shocked with a huge performance.

Bargains/Sleepers

J.J. Worton – Central Florida vs. SMU ($3,800)

See Justin Holman for more on how bad SMU’s defense is, I really don’t feel like singing the same tune again for the 10th time this season. Bottom line is SMU’s defense is the epitome of awful. Worton has caught a touchdown in 3 consecutive games. 2 games ago, Worton caught 11 passes for 178 yards and 1 touchdown. I like both Worton and Perriman quite a bit this week. SMU is awful, and both are pretty impressive WR’s. Worton leads the team in receptions, Perriman leads the team in touchdowns and yards. Worton is $800 cheaper, that’s why I’m listing him here.

Deontay Greenberry – Houston vs. Tulsa ($4,700)

It’s hard to put my money on Greenberry, but maybe just maybe last week was a sign of things to come for the future of this Houston Cougar offense. We all know this offense would like to be an aerial attack (just google John O’Korn freshman season) but unfortunately a secret someone had a sophomore slump. Enter Greg Ward Jr. The Cougars have been running the ball a lot more than normal, but last week Houston threw the ball 45 times (a season high with Ward Jr. at the helm). Houston was playing catchup last game, and Ward did throw 4 INTs, but this Tulsa pass defense is pretty bad. They’re giving up 270 passing yards/game (108th in the country). In my opinion this game could also be a mini shootout, who knows. But anyways I kind of have a gut feeling about Greenberry who is coming off his best performance of the season (11 receptions, 130 yards, 1 touchdown). I’m probably off here, just throwing it out there that a WR many were high on to start the season, showed signs of life. 

Ty Montgomery – Stanford at California ($5,400)

Another “see his quarterback” for more information on this matchup. The only PAC-12 opponent that hasn’t had a wide receiver go over 100 yards against this defense was UCLA. Thats 7/8 teams. Lucky for us Montgomery is a true number one receiving option for Stanford. He has twice as many receptions (60) as the next pass catcher on his team. Montgomery has at least 4 receptions in every single game this year. He has yet to go over 100 yards, but that could very likely change this weekend. If “terrible-passing-defense” was a word in the dictionary, California would be the definition. If you want to see video game passing totals, just go look at their opponents box scores.

Others: Vince Sanders ($4,300), Devin Smith ($4,400), Breshaud Perriman ($4,600)

Give me a shout on Twitter if you have any questions @PutBoobieIn

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