Good, Great, & Gamble Plays For Week 4

Some of these players mentioned are probably more sleepers than anything. But it makes it a little more interesting to shy away from as many obvious choices as I can. After taking a look at this weekends games here are the good, great, gamble, and deep sleepers I came up with:

Good QB: Cyler Miles – Washington (vs. Georgia State)

Georgia State has given up nearly 40 points, 289 passing yards, and 201 rushing yards per game this season. I fully expect Miles to have a very nice game against this defense. In Miles first start he ran for 3 touchdowns. Last week against Illinois he completed 75% of his passes. This will be a good defense to put it all together against. If you have better options start them, but don’t be surprised if Miles goes off.

Good QB: John O’Korn – Houston (vs. UNLV)

Last weekend against BYU, O’Korn finally put up respectable numbers. His 307 yard, 3 touchdown performance gave fantasy owners who drafted him a glimpse of hope. I hate to pick on this UNLV defense, but they have given up 577 total yards of offense and 39 points per game. O’Korn and the pass-happy Cougars could have a very nice game on Saturday.

Good QB: Dylan Thompson – South Carolina (at Vanderbilt)

Thompson has thrown for over 900 yards and 8 touchdowns against three very respectable opponents (TAMU, ECU, and UGA). Meanwhile Vanderbilt has been absolutely terrible this season. They have given up an average of 36 points and 415 yards of total offense per outing (2-3 games were against Temple and U-Mass). This will be the Commodore’s toughest test yet, look for Thompson to have a nice outing.

Great QB: Maty Mauk – Missouri (vs. Indiana)

Speaking of terrible defenses, in Indiana’s loss last weekend to Bowling Green, the Hoosiers gave up 395 yards and 3 touchdowns through the air. Maty Mauk should torch this defense. Mauk has thrown for 3 or more touchdowns in all three of Missouri’s games this season. Indiana does have an above average offense so the threat of Indiana putting up points of their own also bodes well for Mauk. Start him with confidence.

Gamble QB: Nate Sudfeld – Indiana (at Missouri)

The departure of last years OC Seth Littrell may have impacted Indiana’s game plan. The losses of both Cody Latimer and Kofi Hughes don’t help either. Through two games, the Hoosiers have ran the ball more than they’ve passed it. Tevin Coleman appears to be the heart of this offense. It has been a small sample size as the Hoosiers have only played two games, so I’m not going to go to crazy over it. This week Sudfeld’s talents will be displayed against an SEC defense. He could very likely have a poor performance but the possibility of this game becoming a shootout should benefit Sudfeld. If you do decide to roll him out there, proceed with caution.

Deep Sleeper QB: Kevin Ellison – Georgia Southern (at South Alabama)

Last week Mississippi State ran for 288 yards and 3 touchdowns against this South Alabama defense. By no means is Georgia Southern comparable to Mississippi State, and Kevin Ellison is definitely not Dak Prescott. But Ellison has been very productive on the ground this season. He didn’t play much in GSU’s 83-9 victory over Savannah State in week 2. But, in the two games he’s played significant time in Ellison has ran for over 100 yards in each of them. Both those games were against ACC opponents, NC State and Georgia Tech. Ellison could surprise some people.

Good RB: Larry Rose III – New Mexico State (vs. New Mexico)

Rose didn’t play last weekend due to a knee injury, but should play this weekend. Through his first two collegiate games, the true freshman has carried the ball 47 times for 238 yards and 1 touchdown. This is an incredibly favorable matchup for Rose as New Mexico has given up an average 45 points and a whopping 377 rushing yards per game this season. Ouch. Rose could really be in for a big game.

Good RB: David Cobb – Minnesota (vs. San Jose State)

San Jose State gave up 358 yards and 6 touchdowns on the ground in week two against Auburn. Minnesota wasn’t afraid to give senior running back, David Cobb the ball against a lesser opponent, Middle Tennessee in week two. As Cobb carried the ball 29 times for 220 yards and 2 touchdowns. There is always the threat of the Gophers opponents stacking the box like crazy, as their passing game is non-existent. But I like the matchup too much to not mention it.

Good RB: Paul James – Rutgers (at Navy)

The Midshipmen are giving up 187 rushing yards per game this season. Paul James is clearly the best player on this Rutgers offense. Through three games he has carried the ball 56 times for 267 yards and 4 touchdowns. I wouldn’t be surprised if he were to go over one hundred and put the ball in the end zone a couple times. This is a good matchup for James.

Great RB: Jay Ajayi – Boise State (vs. Louisiana-Lafayette)

The Rajun Cajuns have given up 455 yards of total offense per game this season. Who better to capitalize on this matchup then the workhorse Ajayi? Through three games the junior running back has carried the ball 71 times for 344 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also has 18 receptions for 167 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ajayi is the real deal. The matchup is favorable as well.

Gamble RB: James Conner – Pittsburgh (vs. Iowa)

I don’t really consider Conner a gamble but just wanted to note that Iowa has been good against the run so far this year. Chances are it wont matter because Conner is an absolute beast. But Iowa’s defense is only giving up an average of 19 points and 66 rushing yards per game this season. Stopping the run has been Iowa’s strength so far as opponents are only averaging 2.3 YPC. They haven’t really played anyone of note (Northern Iowa, Ball State, and Iowa State) so don’t read into this to much. Defensive tackle, Carl Davis is one of the best in the country and could cause problems for Pitts offensive line. Don’t be hesitant to start Conner but don’t be shocked if he doesn’t have unreal numbers.

Deep Sleeper RB: Matt Breida – Georgia Southern (at South Alabama)

This is basically a repeat of what I mentioned for Ellison matchup wise. Why wouldn’t you like the lead running back of a team that ran for 348 yards against Georgia Tech last weekend. Breida has 319 yards from scrimmage as well as 5 touchdowns this season. There’s a lot to like about this matchup, but he is a long shot, as he’s only had more than 10 touches in one game this season. If his workload increases, watch out.

Good WR: KeVonn Mabon – Ball State (at Toledo)

Over the past two weeks Toledo has given up 761 yards and 11 touchdowns through the air. What’s not to like about Ball State’s number one receiving option? Through three games Mabon has caught 22 passes, more than twice the amount of anyone else on the team. Mabon has only caught one touchdown and is only averaging 70 yards per game. But this is a guy I’d take a chance on if my WR’s were thin. The matchup is as good as it gets, and he’s clearly the number one receiving option. Risky start, but I like it.

Good WR: Cayleb Jones – Arizona (vs. California)

Cal gave up nearly 250 yards and 2 passing touchdowns to the ever so average Northwestern Wildcats in week one. Rich Rodriguez’s offense is a little more potent than what Cal has seen so far this season. Anu Solomon’s been spectacular while Cayleb Jones has been his favorite target so far this season. He’s caught 16 passes and has back to back 100 yard performances. There’s a lot to like about this matchup, and the possibility of a shootout is one of them. I like Jones a lot this week.

Great WR: Deontay Greenberry – Houston (vs. UNLV)

See John O’Korn for more info. Greenberry has had a slow start to the season, but he still has 17 catches for 280 yards and 2 touchdowns. This UNLV defense has been one of the worst in the country. Week in and week out Greenberry will more than likely produce decent numbers regardless of the matchup. O’Korn showed glimpses of why some were so high on him last week against BYU. Greenberry could be in for a great game.

Great WR: Geno Lewis – Penn State (vs. Massachusetts)

Lewis has been incredibly consistent this season. His weekly reception numbers look like this: 8,6,6. As his yardage total looks like this: 173, 98, 100. The only problem for fantasy owners has been his lack of touchdowns. He has only reached the end-zone once this season. There’s a lot to like about this matchup though. UMass is giving up an average of 35 points and 432 yards of total offense per game this season.  The Nittany Lions have been very pass-happy thus far and there’s reason to believe that trend continues.

Gamble WR: Amari Cooper – Alabama (vs. Florida)

I shouldn’t be putting Cooper on here, as he will probably still have a very nice game. But cornerback Vernon Hargreaves is the real deal. If Hargreaves and Cooper are lined up against each other all game, Cooper’s stats could take a hit. Lane Kiffen has a tendency to force feed his number one receiving option so it probably won’t make much of a difference. Start Cooper but don’t be shocked if he has an average day.

Deep Sleeper WR: E.J. Scott – Wake Forest (vs. Army)

Over the past two weeks, Scott has caught 3 touchdowns. I don’t really have to much more to add on this guy, but Army has given up an average of 306 passing yards and 4.5 passing touchdowns per game this season. Scott is second on the team in catches (12) and first with touchdowns (3). If Army again proves to be completely ineffective this week against the pass, theres a good chance Scott reaches the end-zone.

Good TE: Cam Serigne – Wake Forest (vs. Army)

I won’t make you read another paragraph on Army’s pass defense, but it hasn’t been pretty. Serigne leads the Demon Deacons with 15 catches and 171 yards. One knock on Serigne is that he has yet to find the end-zone. Like I said before, Army gives up 4+ touchdowns through the air and Serigne has been quarterback John Wolford’s favorite target. Tight end has been very weak this year. Serigne could put up nice stats.

Great TE: Jonnu Smith – Florida International (vs. Louisville)

Over the past two weeks, Smith has 16 receptions for 189 yards and 2 touchdowns. I’m putting him in this slot based off of volume and the fact that FIU will most likely be playing catchup all game. He could get shut out, but I’d imagine FIU will be throwing early and often. Smith had 7 catches for 62 yards and 1 touchdown against Pittsburgh last weekend. He has three times the amount of receptions as the next leading pass catcher on the Golden Panthers. Smith has been very good so far this season and playing catchup is a plus.

Gamble TE: O.J. Howard – Alabama (vs. Florida)

Howard has yet to catch a ball this season. You’d imagine that at some point Saban and Kiffin would find a way to get Howard involved. Howard is one of the most talented tight ends in the country. He could be in the doghouse, but chances are that he’s not seeing much playing time due to his poor pass blocking abilities. The fact he hasn’t caught a pass makes him hard to start, but he is an elite athlete who could be a game changer.

Deep Sleeper TE: Rodney Mills – Massachusetts (at Penn State)

Chances are that Penn State will win this game by a hefty margin, but then again it is the Big-Ten and unfortunately nothing would surprise me this season. If Penn State does what I expect they will against U-Mass, the Minutemen will be busy playing catchup all game. Last week against Vanderbilt, Mills caught 3 passes for 76 yards and 2 touchdowns. The problem is, he’s only caught 5 passes throughout the whole season. Mills may have forced his way into being a bigger part of the Minutemen game plan. He could have a nice game, but like almost every tight end its very hard to predict. This position is a crapshoot.

If you have any last minute questions about your lineup, feel free to give me a shout on Twitter @PutBoobieIn.

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