I included some pretty obvious guys on here, but only because they have great matchups. Feel free to give me a shout on Twitter @PutBoobieIn. Here are this weeks, good, great, and gamble plays:
Good QB: Blake Frohnapfel – Massachusetts at Toledo
Toledo is giving up 329 passing yards/game (2nd worst in the country) and have allowed 21 passing touchdowns (t-3rd worst in the country). QB Blake Frohnapfel has either thrown for over 300 yards or thrown 3 touchdowns in 4 consecutive games. He has been very consistent as of late and has thrown for 18 touchdowns this season. This is a great matchup. He could have a great game.
Good QB: Paxton Lynch – Memphis at SMU
SMU is giving up 307 passing yards/game and have allowed 16 touchdowns to 2 interceptions. Opposing quarterbacks have a 161.6 rating while facing SMU this season. Last week I thought Gunner Kiel was going have a big game, but the Bearcats decided to attack the SMU rush defense. Hopefully that won’t happen again this weekend with people who decide to insert Lynch into their lineups. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns while adding a rushing score in two consecutive games. He could have a huge game this weekend.
Good QB: Clint Trickett – West Virginia at Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is allowing 288 passing yards/game this season. Last week, Trevone Boykin threw for 401 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Cowboys. This week OK-State will have their hands full against another high flying offense. Clint Trickett has thrown for over 300 yards in every game this season. He has also thrown multiple touchdowns in every game but two. Expect another great day from Trickett.
Good QB: Drew Hare – Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is giving up 521 yards of total offense per game this season. This matchup should bode well for the dual threat quarterback, Drew Hare. Last week Hare threw for 185 yards and 1 touchdown. He did most of his damage on the ground, while running for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns. This E. Michigan defense has troubles stopping both the run and the pass. Expect a good performance from Hare. Don’t be surprised if he goes off.
Great QB: Trevone Boykin – TCU vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech is giving up 466 yards of total offense/game (19th worst in the country). This TCU offense has been one of the hottest in the country. Expect the Horned Frogs to continue to excel offensively. Dual threat QB Trevone Boykin should have a field day against the Red Raiders. Boykin has thrown for multiple touchdowns in every game but one this season. He also has the capability to do damage with his legs, and Tech is awful against the run. Boykin should be able to stay hot.
Good QB: J.T. Barrett – Ohio State at Penn State
This Penn State defense is actually pretty good on paper. They’ve only allowed 3 passing touchdowns and have the country’s best rush defense (61 yds/game). With no disrespect to them, they haven’t seen anyone near the caliber of Ohio State. I expect Barrett to keep things rolling as he’s been one of the hottest players in the country. Barrett has thrown for 3 or more touchdowns in 4 consecutive games, and has ran for over 70 yards in 3 straight. There’s a chance Ohio State could struggle but I don’t see it.
Great QB: Anu Solomon – Arizona at Washington State
I fully expect this game to be a good ol PAC12 shootout. Washington State is giving up 281 passing yards/game this season and has allowed 16 touchdowns/2 interceptions. Solomon has only thrown 1 touchdown in each of the past two games, but I fully expect him to return to form in this one. Solomon is a stud and should have no problem picking apart this defense. His decision making has been very impressive this season considering he’s only a redshirt freshman.
Great QB: Connor Halliday – Washington State vs. Arizona
As I stated this should be a shootout. Arizona is giving up 278 yards per game this season through the air. Halliday should and will have a good game, and since Mike Leach is so pass happy he could have a huge game. Before facing Stanford last week, Halliday had a four game streak of throwing for over 400 yards and 4 touchdowns. I wouldn’t be surprised if his statistics are in that ballpark.
Great QB: Marcus Mariota – Oregon at California
California is the worst passing defense in the country (392 yds/game and 26 touchdowns allowed). Mariota could be in for his best performance of the season. He has thrown for multiple touchdowns in every single game this season. Don’t be surprised if he throws for 5 or 6 touchdowns.
Gamble QB: Bo Wallace – Ole Miss at LSU
This game is my upset special of the week. LSU’s strength on defense is against the pass. They have the fourth best passing defense in terms of yards (156 yds/game allowed) and have only given up 5 touchdowns compared to 8 interceptions this season. Wallace has lived up to the Big Game Bo moniker some have thrust upon him. But don’t be surprised if he has a poor performance at Death Valley.
Good RB: Matt Brieda & Alfred Ramsby – Georgia Southern at Georgia State
I love this running game with a passion, and they’re playing one of the worst rush defenses in the country (241 yds/game – 9th worst in the country). Brieda and Ramsby have both had over 15 carries in their last two games. This offensive line is impressive, and all Georgia Southern does is run the ball (372 rush yards/game). Both could have very nice games.
Good RB: Leon Allen – Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion
This is another game I fully expect be a shootout. I also read that Western Kentucky plans to run the ball more this weekend to keep their terrible defense off the field. Old Dominion is giving up 232 rushing yards/game this season and have allowed 20 rushing touchdowns this season. Allen played last week, and he should be back to full health. I like Allen in this one, he should provide a solid performance, while having the capability for a huge game. He was one of the country’s best workhorse running backs before his injury a few weeks ago. QB Brandon Doughty should also have a great game.
Good RB: Alex Collins & Jonathan Williams – Arkansas vs. UAB
Although their record may not indicate drastic improvements, Arkansas is a much better team this year than last. Anytime their playing a lesser opponent you’ve got to capitalize on it. The offensive line is absolutely huge, and both Williams and Collins are more than capable at running the football. UAB is giving up 161 rushing yards per game; a yardage total that Arkansas will surely go over. I like both players this week.
Good RB: Kenneth Dixon – Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss
Southern Miss is one of the worst rush defenses in the country (226 yards/game & 17 touchdowns). This week they get to face one of the country’s most consistent running backs in Kenneth Dixon. Dixon has scored a touchdown in 6 consecutive games this season. In that span he has 3-100 yard games and 3 multiple touchdown performances. This is a week where he could surely do both. Great matchup.
Good RB: James Conner – Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is allowing 188 rushing yards/game this season and has allowed 16 rushing touchdowns. This week they face Conner who is a model for consistency this season. The sophomore RB has ran for over 83 yards in every game this season, and has scored a touchdown in all but two performances. I expect Conner to get things rolling again this week.
Great RB: Melvin Gordon – Wisconsin vs. Maryland
Gordon has been incredibly productive this season, and with the awful QB play in Madison he has surprisingly been relied on heavily. Opening the season he hadn’t had many if any games of over 20 carries. The past three games the stud running back has carried the ball at least 27 times. If if sees those carry numbers again this week he will once again explode. Maryland is allowing 198 rushing yards/game this season. Gordon is averaging nearly 8 YPC this season. Expect huge numbers.
Great RB: David Cobb – Minnesota at Illinois
Cobb has gone under the radar this season, due to the relatively great running back play in the Big-Ten conference. Cobb ranks 5th in the country in yards (1,013) and leads the country in carries (189). Unfortunately he’s gotten cultured by QB Mitch Leidner near the goal line, but this week the Gophers have one of the juiciest match ups they’ve had all season. Illinois is giving up a whopping 271 rushing yards/game this season and have allowed 19 rushing touchdowns. If Cobb gets over 30 carries again, which he has in 4 consecutive games, there’s no reason he doesn’t go for over 200 yards. There is a chance the Gophers rest him if they get up big, he could surely use it.
Gamble RB: Ezekiel Elliot – Ohio State at Penn State
Penn State is allowing a country best 61 rushing yards/game. There is a chance that Elliot can get things rolling, because like I said earlier Penn State hasn’t played anyone this season. Another thing that concerns me with Elliot is this offense is completely built around J.T. Barrett. I don’t expect Elliot to have a great game. He has shown promise as of late, but I think the Buckeyes win through Barrett, not Elliot.
Good WR: Devon Allen – Oregon at California
Like I mentioned earlier, this California defense is absolutely awful. Devon Allen is a big play receiver so there’s always the chance of him getting shut down due to lack of volume. But I really don’t see any reason why he doesn’t have a good game in this one. Number 1 receiving threats have absolutely torched this California defense over the past few weeks, and Allen’s upside is as good as any in the country. Don’t leave him on your bench.
Good WR: Tony Lippett – Michigan State vs. Michigan
I fully expect Lippett to keep things rolling. Last week was the first game in 8 outings Lippett didn’t find the end-zone. But he still had 7 catches for 123 yards. Connor Cook should succeed through the air against the wounded animal that is Michigan, and the passing game starts with Cook and ends with Lippett. He is by far the number one receiving threat in East Lansing. If Cook succeeds, so will Lippett. I really like him this week again.
Good WR: Jaelen Strong – Arizona State at Washington
Regardless of who plays QB for the Sun Devils I’m confident Strong will have a nice game. The Washington defense is 283 passing yards/game this season and have allowed 14 touchdowns through the air. Strong is one of the best receivers in college football. He has caught 8 or more passes in three consecutive games. Strong also has the ability to have a huge game. His consistency and high upside make him a great option.
Good WR: Zach Pascal & Antonio Vaughn – Old Dominion at Western Kentucky
I’m mentioning both of these guys, because both appear to be 1A and 1B options for Old Dominion. Western Kentucky is giving up 534 yards of total offense/game (4th worst in country). I fully expect this game to be a shootout, I also expect Old Dominion to have success through the air. Other players to keep an eye on in this game are RB Ray Lawry and QB Taylor Heinicke.
Great WR: Nelson Spruce – Colorado vs. UCLA
Spruce is one of the best receivers in the country statistically speaking (71 REC – 801 YDS – 11 TDS). This week Spruce gets to face a defense that is giving up 268 yards/game through the air. Spruce has caught at least 6 passes in every game this season and has multiple touchdowns in 4/7 outings. Spruce is a stud and his high volume makes him a threat to explode week in and week out.
Great WR: Tajae Sharpe – Massachusetts at Toledo
Like I mentioned earlier, Toledo is arguably the second worst pass defense in the country. This week they will have their hands full trying to defend Tajae Sharpe, who has been very good as of late. In 3 of the past 4 games for UMASS, Sharpe has caught at least 9 passes for 154 yards. This matchup is as good as it gets for arguably the best receiver to play for the Minutemen since Victor Cruz. Sharpe should have a huge game.
Great WR: Kevin White – West Virginia at Oklahoma State
White is arguably the best receiver in college football right now. He has gone for over 100 yards receiving in 7 straight games. I fully expect that trend to continue and wouldn’t be shocked at all if he has a huge game. OK-State is giving up the worst yardage total through the air in the Big 12. White’s been rolling and that’ll likely continue against the Cowboys.
Gamble WR: Ty Montgomery – Stanford vs. Oregon State
Oregon State surprisingly has one of the better passing defenses in the country. The Beaver defense has only given up 4 passing touchdowns all season, and are giving up a more than respectable 176 passing yards/game. Montgomery hasn’t gone for over 100 yards receiving all year, and hasn’t caught a touchdown for 3 games. I could see those trends continuing.
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